We’ve reached the halfway point of the 2026 college football season, and several teams are already showing why they’re legit national title contenders.
Georgia took down Alabama 20-17 in Tuscaloosa and is the No. 1 team in the AP poll. With its perfect 6-0 record, the program has a 95.4% chance of making the College Football Playoff right now, per ESPN’s FPI.
MORE:Updated ESPN FPI college football top 25 rankings after upset-filled Week 6
Miami owns the second-best odds at 94.7% after having this past week off. “The U” will take on Florida State this Saturday before playing Pittsburgh on Oct. 24.
Notre Dame, Indiana, and Alabama round out the top five for the highest CFP odds at the midway point of the season. Notre Dame has a 93.7% chance to make the CFP, while Indiana has an 87.8% chance and Alabama has an 82% chance.
What do the full top-12 odds look like? Well, let’s examine them.
Updated ESPN FPI College Football Playoff odds

Oct 3, 2026; Athens, Georgia, USA; Georgia Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart reacts on the sideline during the game against the Vanderbilt Commodores at Sanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images Credit: IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect (Reuters)
- Georgia, 95.4%
- Miami, 94.7%
- Notre Dame, 93.7%
- Indiana, 87.8%
- Alabama, 82%
- Ohio State, 76.7%
- Texas, 74.9%
- Texas Tech, 61.4%
- Utah, 50.8%
- Boise State, 47.3%
- BYU, 40.4%
- Wake Forest, 29.8%
These odds can and will change several times before the final College Football Playoff rankings come out at the end of the season.
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Source: Yahoo Sports










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