It wasn't unfathomable that the Oklahoma Sooners would start the season 2-2, considering they had to go on the road to Ann Arbor and Athens in the first four weeks of the season. What's been surprising is that the Sooners have been statistically worse than they were last season. After their 41-13 loss to Georgia, Oklahoma has a lot of questions entering the bye week.

The Sooners' offense has been one of the least efficient offenses in the SEC through four weeks. Can they get things turned around during the bye week? If so, it may take significant changes at quarterback.

Each week, the ESPN Matchup Predictor updates their win probabilities for each team in college football. After Oklahoma's loss to Georgia, how has their season changed according to the computers?

Here's how ESPN Analytics projects the Oklahoma Sooners to fare in 2026.

Sept. 4 vs. UTEP Miners

Oklahoma's John Mateer (10) hands the ball off to Lloyd Avant (9) in the second half of the college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners and the UTEP Miners at the Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla., Sept. 4, 2026.

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma - 99%

Result: Oklahoma 51, UTEP 0

Record: 1-0

Sept. 12 at Michigan Wolverines

Sep 12, 2026; Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA; Oklahoma Sooners defensive line Jayden Jackson (65) tackles Michigan Wolverines quarterback Bryce Underwood (19) during the fourth quarter at Michigan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma - 64.4%

Result: L, 17-10

Record: 1-1

Sept. 19 vs. New Mexico Lobos

Sep 19, 2026; Norman, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma Sooners defensive lineman Adepoju Adebawore (34) reacts during the first quarter against the New Mexico Lobos at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Result: W, 14-6

Record: 2-1

Sept. 26 at Georgia Bulldogs

Sep 26, 2026; Athens, Georgia, USA; Georgia Bulldogs linebacker Raylen Wilson (5) sacks Oklahoma Sooners quarterback John Mateer (10) during the first half at Sanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Georgia

Result: L, 41-13

Projected running record: 2-2

Oct. 10 vs. Texas Longhorns (Cotton Bowl)

Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Dillon Gabriel (8) drops back to pass during the Red River Rivalry college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the University of Texas (UT) Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023. Oklahoma won 34-30.

Predicted Winner: Texas

Sooners Win Probability: 19.9% (Down from 23.7%)

Projected running record: 2-3

Oct. 17 vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky Wildcats quarterback Kenny Minchey (3) throws the ball during the Kentucky Football spring game on April 18, 2026; Lexington, KY, USA; at Kroger Field.

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 70.1% (Down from 79%)

Projected running record: 3-3

Oct. 24 at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 13, 2025; Starkville, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs tight end Emeka Iloh (84) and head coach Jeff Lebby react during the second half against the Alcorn State Braves at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. Mandatory Credit: Wesley Hale-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Mississippi State

Sooners Win Probability: 41.5% (Down from 50.7%)

Projected running record: 3-4

Oct. 31 vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

Oct 18, 2025; Columbia, South Carolina, USA; Oklahoma Sooners running back Tory Blaylock (6) rushes against the South Carolina Gamecocks in the first quarter at Williams-Brice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Blake-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 70% (Down from 71.5%)

Projected running record: 4-4

Nov. 7 at Florida Gators

Jan 8, 2008; Miami, FL, USA; Florida Gators quarterback Tim Tebow (15) throws a pass to wide receiver Louis Murphy (front) for a touchdown during the second quarter of the 2009 BCS Championship Game against the Oklahoma Sooners at Dolphin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted Winner: Florida

Sooners Win Probability: 26.8% (Down from 42.7%)

Projected running record: 4-5

Nov. 14 vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Oklahoma Sooners running back Xavier Robinson (24) runs for a touchdown during a college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the Ole Miss Rebels at Gaylord Family Ð Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla., Saturday, Oct. 25, 2025. Ole Miss won 34-26.

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 55.5% (Up from 54.1%)

Projected running record: 5-5

Nov. 21 vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Nov 11, 2005; Norman, OK USA; Oklahoma Sooners safety (1) Reggie Smith reacts after making a play the during the 1st quarter against the Texas A&M Aggies at Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports Copyright (c) 2005 Tim Heitman

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 52.9% (Up from 52.1%)

Projected running record: 6-5

Nov. 28 at Missouri Tigers

Nov 22, 2025; Norman, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma Sooners linebacker Kendal Daniels (5) reacts during the game against the Missouri Tigers at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 56.3% (Down from 62%)

Projected running record: 7-5

Can Oklahoma make a bowl game?

The Oklahoma Sooners need to find some answers on offense if they want to salvage their season. Georgia might be the best team the Sooners face all year, but that doesn't mean they're the only good team Oklahoma will face over their final eight games. Five teams are ranked in the US LBM Coaches Poll and Kentucky, who isn't ranked, has a signature win over Texas A&M.

The Sooners had high expectations for this season and now are hoping to salvage a bowl game out of a disastrous September.

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This article originally appeared on Sooners Wire: ESPN's game-by-game predictions for Oklahoma after Georgia loss

Source: Yahoo Sports